Welcome to the Team Toad Coronavirus Epidemic modeling page.
Disclaimer: none of this has been peer-reviewed.
My credentials allow me to make statements about math, but not medicine.
My goal is to explain the math to you so that you can draw your own
conclusions about the state of the public heath threat.
The Theory page describes this work in the most detail.
See the various sub-pages for
See the blog for discussion of each update.
See about for data sources and references.